Much has been made of the potential impact of the US elections on currencies such as MXN and CAD. However, the US elections have the potential to also be a major driver for CNY in the context of broader US -China trade relations. Should Democratic candidate Clinton win the Presidency, this is likely to maintain...

The post How Would A Trump Presidency Affect USDCNY? appeared first on Forex Crunch.

The US Presidential Elections are clear: Clinton vs. Trump. What does this mean for markets? We discuss the potential impact and catch up on recent developments as well before looking to what’s next. You are welcome to listen, subscribe, provide feedback and  pledge support on  Patreon. US data vs. rate hike: The NFP was mixed...

The post Markets vs. Trump vs. Clinton – MM #100 appeared first on Forex Crunch.

We focus on Trump’s Triumph: the shock result has significant implications for both fiscal and monetary policy and it already had a huge  impact on markets.  Uncertainty is high and only volatility is certain. You are welcome to listen, subscribe, provide feedback and pledge support on Patreon. Market movements on Trump: We had everything: buy...

The post Trump-time – fiscal, monetary and market implications – MM appeared first on Forex Crunch.

According to the self-described “ambitious” project called VoteCastr, monitoring real-time turnout (something the campaigns are doing anyway), Clinton is leading in key states. And now, there is new data. Fresh reports show Clinton leading by 4% in Ohio, a state that should be in Trump’s bag. It also shows Clinton up by 5% in Iowa,...

The post Report: Clinton leading even in Ohio (VoteCastr) – USD appeared first on Forex Crunch.

41 million Americans have already voted at the time of writing, and the polls aren’t open yen. According to various reports, Latino / Hispanic voters are voting in massive numbers, much more than in 2012. This could  be the tipping point for a Clinton victory, or at least cement her win, especially if this mobilization...

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Hillary Clinton trumped Donald Trump in all three debates, according to polls. Her accumulated victories are the highest in the history of presidential debates. This does not automatically imply a victory at the one poll that matters most, but her performance at the debates  provides valuable lessons. Here are 5 takeaways from Clinton’s  debate performances:...

The post 5 Forex lessons from Clinton’s stellar debate performance appeared first on Forex Crunch.

It’s not a happy Monday in stock markets, and this has implications for currencies as well. The ultimate haven currency which is the Japanese yen is on a roll, while commodity currencies are sold off. Why has fear taken over? Stocks slide on Fed Fear The stock market falls already began on Friday. Speculation that...

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The US presidential campaigns are moving one step up with the first debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. With the race  tightening towards Trump, there is a lot at stake. Clinton represents continuation vs. the Donald Disruption:  a gray, mainstream candidate that will continue the current path while the challenger is disruption, and we...

The post 3 reasons to watch USD/JPY for a real debate reaction appeared first on Forex Crunch.

Hillary Clinton gave a solid performance in the first presidential debate, while Trump couldn’t keep up and did not  lacked any “presidential” style. Instant polls  gave Clinton a 2:1 victory on the question: who won the debate?  This was not totally unexpected  but anything can happen in 90 uninterrupted  minutes. A few punchlines such as...

The post Clinton wins debate – markets cheer, USD/JPY rises appeared first on Forex Crunch.

The first presidential debate between  Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump saw rough exchanges and was eventually seen as a small victory for Clinton. But winning a debate does not necessarily imply gaining more support when it comes to voting intentions. While we still don’t have all the possible polls, the first ones that are trickling...

The post Clinton gaining ground in post-debate polls – will markets appeared first on Forex Crunch.